| 王文略，贺有利，贾海波.农产品价格波动对策研究——以猪周期为例[J].广东农业科学,2013,40(23（农经版）):39-42 |
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农产品价格波动对策研究——以猪周期为例 |
| Study on the countermeasures of agricultural product price fluctuation |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 猪周期 价格 对策 |
| 英文关键词: pig circle price countermeasures |
| 基金项目:国家科技部软科学项目（2012GXS4D102）；甘肃农业大学盛彤笙创新基金（GSAU-STS-1214） |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 应用蛛网理论、边际供求价格递变规律对猪周期进行了解释，分析了猪周期的主要成因：生猪产量不稳定、缺乏准确的市场信息和预测能力、标准化规模饲养程度低、疫情导致猪肉供给波动、预警信号不充分、国家宏观调控乏力等。解决农产品价格波动的关键是完善有效的预警机制和农产品的战略储备制度，据此提出了应对猪周期的对策建议：完善猪周期预警机制、建立猪肉战略储备制度、发展标准化规模养殖、做好疫病防治防控、实施更科学的补贴政策、大力发展生态猪。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| This article explained the pig cycle by using cobweb theory and the marginal price change rules of supply and demand, analyzed the main causes of the pig cycle, including unstablity of pig production, lack of accurate market information and forecasting ability, low degree of standardized scale, epidemic leading to pork fluctuations, insufficiency of early warning signal, weak of the national macro -control, etc. The key point to solve the fluctuation of the price of agricultural product was to improve the effective warning mechanism and agricultural product reserving strategy, and some countermeasures to reply the pig cycle were put forward, including improving the warning mechanism of the pig circle,establishing the strategy reserving system of the pork, developing the breeding standardized scale, making a good control on epidemic disease, implementing more scientific subsidy policies and developing the ecological pig vigorously. |
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