| 冯娟，章胜勇，王娟娟.我国保鲜大蒜出口收入不稳定性及其影响因素分析[J].广东农业科学,2014,41(14):214-218 |
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我国保鲜大蒜出口收入不稳定性及其影响因素分析 |
| Instability and its influencing factors of China’s fresh garlic export income |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 保鲜大蒜出口 不稳定性 误差修正模型 CMS 模型 |
| 英文关键词: fresh garlic export instability error correction model CMS model |
| 基金项目:国家自然科学基金（71273104） |
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| 摘要点击次数: 1373 |
| 全文下载次数: 596 |
| 中文摘要: |
| 选取我国2000-2012年的保鲜大蒜出口及价格数据，分别从国内和国际两个角度分析导致我国保鲜大蒜出口收入不稳定的主要影响因素。结果显示，在保鲜大蒜出口数量相对稳定的情况下，我国保鲜大蒜出口收入不稳定性主要是由出口价格影响的，而我国大蒜市场供求关系决定的国内保鲜大蒜批发价格单向影响保鲜大蒜出口价格；影响我国保鲜大蒜出口收入增长的国际因素则是竞争力效应和需求效应，结构效应的影响较小。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Based on the data about quantity and price of China爷s fresh garlic export from 2000 to 2012, this paper analyses the main influencing factors of the instability of China爷s fresh garlic export revenue from both domestic and international perspectives. The results show that when the export quantity is relatively stable, the export price is the main factor that influencing the instability of China爷s garlic export revenue, the garlic爷s domestic wholesale price determined by domestic supply and demand influences export price. Internationally, the main influencing factors of China爷s garlic export revenue growth is the competitive effect and demand effect, while the influence of structure effect is non-significant. |
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