| 柯佑鹏，过建春，夏勇开，王芳.2013—2014年中国香蕉产销形势分析与预测[J].广东农业科学,2014,41(15):184-188 |
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2013—2014年中国香蕉产销形势分析与预测 |
| Analysis and prediction of production and marketing situation for China banana from 2013 to 2014 |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 香蕉 产销形势 2013年 |
| 英文关键词: banana production and marketing situation 2013 |
| 基金项目:国家香蕉产业技术体系产业经济岗位（CARS-32-10）；“农业经济管理”海南省重点学科；“农业经济管理”海南省教学团队；海南省农业产业损害监测预警项目 |
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| 摘要点击次数: 1061 |
| 全文下载次数: 490 |
| 中文摘要: |
| 我国是世界第二大香蕉生产国，也是世界第一消费大国。目前我国香蕉产业正由“三高”（高投入、高风险、高回报）向“两高一低”（高投入、高风险、低回报）转变，早年的“三年不亏冶（挣一年、保本一年、亏本一年，总体依然不亏）的神话已经破灭。2011、2012年香蕉价格”蕉你急“阴影依然笼罩着广大香蕉种植户。在2011、2012年香蕉价格经历了过山车的市场波动之后，2013年我国香蕉产业迎来了一丝曙光，产地价格较往年呈现相对平稳且总体均价略高的态势。在香蕉产业趋好的背后，2014 年也将呈现一些新问题、特点及新趋势。预计2014年全国香蕉无论种植面积还是收获面积均难以超越2013年水平，甚至会出现微小幅度的下滑，全年市场价格预计是上半年趋好，而下半年将出现较大的波动。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| China is the world's second largest banana producing country, is also the world's first banana consumptioncountry. At present, the banana industry for China is from the “three high”(high investment, high risk, high return) to the’two high and one low" (high investment, high risk, low return), the myth that ‘it’s not to lose money in business for three years冶(make money in a year, break even in a year, lose money in a year, overall still do not lose) has been shattered the early. In 2012 and 2011, “banana prices make you anxious”shadowed the banana growers. After 2012 and 2011, banana's rices experienced market fluctuations similar to the roller coaster, in 2013 China banana industry ushered in the dawn, production prices showed relatively stable and the overall average price was slightly higher than that of previous years in 2014. With the banana industry getting better and better, there will also appear some new problems, new features and new trends. In 2014, regardless of planting area and the harvest area will be difficult to exceed the levels in 2013 for national banana, even will have small declines, the market price is expected to be better in the first half of the year, while appear larger fluctuation in the second half of the year. |
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