| 谢 婕，唐以杰，林耿璇，伍瑞枝，龚玉莲.1993—2013 年珠海市生态承载力及生态足迹分析[J].广东农业科学,2018,45(2):151-156 |
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1993—2013 年珠海市生态承载力及生态足迹分析 |
| Analysis of ecological carrying capacity and ecological footprint of Zhuhai city from 1993 to 2013 |
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| DOI：10.16768/j.issn.1004-874X.2018.02.024 |
| 中文关键词: 珠海市 生态足迹 生态承载力 生态赤字 生态盈亏 |
| 英文关键词: Zhuhai City ecological footprint ecological capacity ecological deficit ecological profit and
loss |
| 基金项目:国家自然科学基金（31570525）；广东省自然科学基金（2017A030313191) |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 运用生态足迹理论和方法，对珠海市1993—2013 年的生态承载力、生态足迹以及生态盈亏进
行分析，结果表明，珠海市的生态承载力在20 年间呈现较大波动，大致呈现先升后降再回升的“马鞍形”
曲线。由于人口持续增加，人均生态承载力呈现单边下降的趋势，20 年间下降了44.76%。而珠海市1993—
2013 年的生态足迹先增加后减少，2003 年达到了最大值、为752 688.0249 hm2，之后逐年减少至2013 年的
630 081.1731 hm2，人均生态足迹则呈现持续下降趋势。总体来看，1993—2013 年珠海市的生态足迹一直大
于生态承载力，表现为轻度生态赤字状态，但赤字程度有缩小趋势。预测珠海市大约能在2040 年消除生态
赤字，实现生态平衡。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Applying the theory and method of ecological footprint，the paper analyzed the eco-capacity，ecofootprint
and eco-surplus of Zhuhai City from 1993 to 2013. The results showed that the city's eco-capacity fluctuated
greatly during the 20 years，which is a“saddle shape”curve that is rose first，next dropped and then rebounded.
As the population continues to increase，the per capita eco-capacity shows a trend of unilateral decline，which has
dropped by 44.76% in 20 years. However，the eco-footprint of Zhuhai from 1993 to 2013 increased frist and then
decreased，which reached a maximum value of 752 688.0249 hm2 in 2003.It decreased to 630 081.1731 hm2 in
2013 and was a trend of continuously decreased. Overall， the eco-footprint of Zhuhai has been greater than that of
ecological carrying capacity from 1993 to 2013， Although it showed a mild deficit， there is a tendency of narrowing It
is predicted that Zhuhai will eliminate the eco-deficit and get a balance in 2040. |
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