| 熊毅俊1，林 群1，孙明华1，万 忠2.2016年上半年广东生猪产业发展形势与对策建议[J].广东农业科学,2016,43(10):15-20 |
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2016年上半年广东生猪产业发展形势与对策建议 |
| Development situation and countermeasures of Guangdong pig industry in the first half of 2016 |
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| DOI：10.16768/j.issn.1004-874X.2016.10.004 |
| 中文关键词: 广东 生猪产业 猪粮比价 市场走势 对策建议 |
| 英文关键词: Guangdong pig industry pig grain price market trend countermeasures and suggestion |
| 基金项目:广东省省属科研机构改革创新专项（2014B070706015）；广州市重点实验室项目（2014SY000001） |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 2016年上半年，广东生猪产能持续处于低位，生猪出栏价、批发价以及猪肉零售价均呈现大幅
度上涨趋势，生猪供给市场偏紧。而玉米和豆粕价格持续下滑，猪粮比价维持高位运行态势，2016年上半
年广东省生猪产业迎来养殖效益反补期。重点分析了造成生猪产能持续下降与猪价持续上涨的具体原因，
预测2016年下半年生猪价格将从高位逐步回落，生猪供给偏紧局势进一步缓解。针对目前生猪产业所面临
的形势与困境如治污减排、控成本提效能以及猪肉品牌化发展等热点问题，提出了大力推进生态化生猪养
殖、加强养殖技术装备升级改造、加快推进生鲜猪肉品牌化建设等对策与建议。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| In the first half of 2016，the pig production of Guangdong province sustained in a low position，pig
slaughter price，wholesale price and the retail price of pork showed significant upward trend，all these factors made
live pigs supplies be tight. In the other hand，the prices of corn and soybean meal continued to decline，while the
pig grain price remained on high momentum，it showed that the pig industry of Guangdong province was entering the
period of pig breeding efficiency compensation. This paper focused on the specific cause for pig production declining
and pork price rising，predicted that the live pig price would be decreasing from high position，and the situation of
live pig supplies would be further relief in the second half of 2016. Based on the current hot issues of pig industry，
such as pollution abatement，costs control and effectiveness improvement，and the branding development of pork
market，thid paper put forward to some countermeasures and suggestions，such as promoting ecological pig breeding，
strengthening the cultivation technology and equipment upgrading，speeding up establishment and development of
fresh pork brand，etc. |
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