文章摘要
马云倩,王秀丽,孙君茂,郭燕枝.基于LASSO 方法的我国城乡居民食物消费结构影响因素研究[J].广东农业科学,2017,44(10):141-147
查看全文    HTML 基于LASSO 方法的我国城乡居民食物消费结构影响因素研究
Influence factors of urban and rural residents’ food consumption structure based on LASSO method
  
DOI:10.16768/j.issn.1004-874X.2017.10.023
中文关键词: 食物消费结构  影响因素  LASSO 方法  变量筛选
英文关键词: food consumption structure  influence factors  LASSO method  variable selection
基金项目:中国农业科学院科技创新工程项目(CAAS-ASTIP-2018-IFND);国家公益性行业(农业)科研专项 (201503001)
作者单位
马云倩,王秀丽,孙君茂,郭燕枝 农业部食物与营养发展研究所北京 100081 
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中文摘要:
      选取可能对居民食物消费结构产生影响的11 个因素,通过LASSO 方法分别筛选了对农村和城 镇居民粮食、蔬菜、肉类、蛋、奶、水产品及鲜瓜果消费量产生影响的因素,并进行定量分析。研究结果表 明:不同食物之间消费量的影响因素并不相同,不同人群即农村和城镇居民之间食物消费结构的影响因素 也不尽相同;宏观经济因素人均GDP 对城乡居民食物消费结构的影响非常微弱;人均可支配收入只对收入 较低的农村居民产生影响,对城镇居民的食物消费没有影响;影响城乡居民蔬菜消费的主要因素是居民消 费价格指数,且两者之间存在负向关系;人口老龄化率是城镇居民肉类消费的主要影响因素,且随着人口 老龄化率的提高,肉类消费量增加,而该因素并不对农村居民肉类消费产生影响。
英文摘要:
      In this paper,we selected 11 influence factors which might effect residents’ food consumption structure. The LASSO method was used to select influence factors which effect the urban and rural residents’ consumption of grain,vegetables,meat,eggs,milk,aquatic products and fresh fruits respectively and to quantitative analysis. The results showed that: the consumption of different food had different impact factors;there were different affecting factors between urban and rural residents;macro-economic factor per capita GDP had slightly effect on the food consumption structure of urban and rural residents;per capita disposable income only effected on rural lowincome residents’ food consumption but didn’t impact urban residents’;the main influence factor of urban and rural residents’ vegetable consumption was the consumer price index,and there was a negative relationship between them;the rate of aging population was the main effecting factor of urban residents’ meat consumption which increased as the rate raise,but it didn’t affect the rural residents’ meat consumption.
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