文章摘要
高红梅,邹正方.基于VAR模型的我国农产品生产价格指数与CPI关系的实证分析[J].广东农业科学,2013,40(9):205-208
查看全文    HTML 基于VAR模型的我国农产品生产价格指数与CPI关系的实证分析
Empirical research of the relationship between China's agricultural price index and CPI based on VAR model
  
DOI:
中文关键词: 农产品生产价格指数  CPI  传导机制  VAR 模型
英文关键词: PPAP  CPI  transmission mechanism  VAR model
基金项目:天津市哲学社会科学基金(TJYY12107)
作者单位
高红梅,邹正方 天津农学院经济管理系袁天津300384曰2. 中国人民大学经济学院 
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中文摘要:
      CPI上扬与农产品价格上涨有着密不可分的关系,政府和相关部门也在利用农产品价格上涨的契机推动粮食、生猪等农产品产业结构调整,以确保农民增收。结合经济学原理和相关学者的研究对农产品价格和CPI的关系问题进行了经验分析,并选定时间序列数据,构建合适的VAR模型对农产品生产价格和CPI的关系进行实证分析,运用格兰杰因果检验来完善检验的结果,对农产品价格和CPI的关系进行定性和定量的分析,并提出相应的对策建议。
英文摘要:
      This article researches the relationship between China's agricultural prices and CPI. First, this article reviews the research about this subject, then we do empirical analysis on the relationship between agricultural prices and the based on the principles of economics and former research.Second,we select the time series data, to build a suitable VAR model to analysis the relationship between agricultural producer prices and the CPI, and then add the Granger causality test to improve test results. With the help of experience and empirical analysis,we do qualitative and quantitative analysis on the relationship of agricultural prices and CPI .At last, we give some recommendations on the policies.
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