| 赵梅，刘维忠.中国棉花贸易逆差及诱发因素研究[J].广东农业科学,2014,41(14):224-228 |
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中国棉花贸易逆差及诱发因素研究 |
| Research on Chinese cotton trade deficit and its inducing factors |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 棉花 贸易逆差 诱发因素 |
| 英文关键词: cotton trade deficit inducing factors |
| 基金项目:新疆维吾尔族自治区产学研联合培养研究生示范基地项目（xjaucxy-yjs-20131049）；国家自然科学基金（71203194）；新疆人文社会科学重点研究基地项目（XJEDU030113A01） |
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| 摘要点击次数: 1657 |
| 全文下载次数: 572 |
| 中文摘要: |
| 针对中国棉花进出口贸易问题，以贸易逆差和诱发性因素为研究对象，利用1992要2012年时间序列数据，首先对中国棉花贸易逆差概况进行简要分析，然后从需求因素和竞争力因素两方面分别研究影响中国棉花贸易逆差的诱发因素。结果表明：中国棉花贸易总额整体呈现增长趋势，贸易逆差总体而言呈现扩大趋势，并且贸易逆差额增长率明显大于棉花贸易总额增长率；需求因素是导致中国棉花贸易逆差存在的直接因素曰中国棉花贸易不具有竞争力因素袁其中棉花的显性比较优势指数一直维持在0.15 左右，贸易竞争力指数也呈现出逐年下降的趋势，指数越来越接近于-1，进一步说明中国棉花贸易竞争力较弱。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| According to the import and export trade problems of China cotton, taking the trade deficit and its inducing factors as the research object, using the data from 1992 to 2012, first briefly analyzed the general situation of China cotton trade deficit, then studied the influencing factors of Chinese cotton trade deficit from the demand factors and competitiveness factors. The results showed that, China cotton trade showed a trend of growing, the trade deficit had a tendency to expand in general, and the growth rate of trade deficit amount was larger than that of cotton trade amount; the demand factors were the direct factors of the existence of China cotton trade deficit; China cotton did not have competitiveness factors, as the revealed comparative advantage index of China cotton remained around 0.15, trade competitiveness index also showed a downward trend year by year, with the index getting more and more close to -1, further explaining the trade competitiveness of China cotton was weak. Provide the basis for prompt China cotton import & export trade present situation, provides the option to formulate reasonable trade strategy, has the vital significance. |
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