| 徐永金，苗珊珊，许增巍.农业贷款与农业财政支出对主产区粮食增产效果的比较分析[J].广东农业科学,2014,41(20):193-196 |
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农业贷款与农业财政支出对主产区粮食增产效果的比较分析 |
| Gomparative analysis on effects of agricultural loans and agricultural financial expenditure on grain yield in major grain producing areas |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 主产区 粮食产量 农业贷款 农业财政支出 |
| 英文关键词: major producing areas grain yield agricultural loans agricultural financial expenditure |
| 基金项目:河南省哲学社会科学规划项目（2014CJJ066）；河南省教育厅重点项目（2014-zd-066）；河南省科技厅项目（142400410396）；河南理工大学博士基金（72103001028） |
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| 摘要点击次数: 1797 |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 基于粮食主产区1979-2010 年粮食产量、农业贷款和农业财政支出的相关数据，运用协整检验、误差修正模型分析农业贷款和农业财政支出对主产区粮食产量的影响。结果表明：当期农业贷款和农业财政支出对主产区粮食产量有显著正向影响，且农业贷款大于农业财政支出对主产区粮食产量的影响，方差分解的结果表明农业贷款大于农业财政支出对主产区粮食产量的贡献率。在此基础上，提出改进我国主产区农业生产的农业金融和财政政
策，提高粮食产量，保障我国粮食安全。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Based on the date of grain production, agricultural loans and agricultural financial expenditure in major
grain producing areas in 1979-2010，the cointegration test and VAR model were employed to analyze the impact of
agricultural loans and agricultural financial expenditure on grain production in major grain producing areas. The results
showed that, the current agricultural loans and agricultural financial expenditure both had significant positive effect on
grain production, and agricultural loans had greater impact compared to agricultural financial expenditure on grain
production in major grain producing areas. Variance decomposition results showed that the contribution of agricultural loans was greater than that of agricultural financial expenditure on grain production in main producing areas; on this basis, this paper proposed that we should modify Chinese agricultural financial and fiscal policies, for increasing food production and ensuring food security. |
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