| 刘春雨， 王 锐.中国粮食进口风险影响因素实证研究[J].广东农业科学,2015,42(5):150-156 |
|
查看全文
HTML
中国粮食进口风险影响因素实证研究 |
| Empirical study on influence factors of China爷s grain import risk |
| |
| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 粮食进口 粮食安全 风险 |
| 英文关键词: grain import food security risk |
| 基金项目: |
|
| 摘要点击次数: 1513 |
| 全文下载次数: 626 |
| 中文摘要: |
| 以国际国内粮食市场环境为背景‘运用相关分析、逐步回归等方法重点研究了影响我国粮食进口
的国际和国内两个市场风险因素。 研究发现‘国际粮食价格波动与国内粮食价格波动对我国粮食进口具有显
著影响‘国际粮食供应量对我国粮食进口影响不是很显著‘国内粮食供应量是影响我国粮食进口的主要显著
因素‘但是人民币汇率和国内生产总值的波动与粮食进口关系不显著。 在此基础上‘提出了粮食进口风险规避
措施‘为保障我国粮食安全提供借鉴。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Taking the international environment and domestic food market as the background, using correlation
analysis and stepwise regression method, the influence factors of China's grain import risk from international and
domestic market were studied. The results showed that the international grain price爷s fluctuation and domestic food
price volatility had significant effects on food import in our country, and the effect of international food supply on
food import of our country was not very significant, besides the domestic food supply was the main factor affecting
grain import in China, but the effects of RMB exchange rate fluctuations and gross domestic product (GDP) was not
significant. On this basis, some measures were proposed to avoid risk, as well as to provide a reference for the
security of China's food. |
|
查看/发表评论 下载PDF阅读器 |
