缪建群1,2,伍 健2,黄国勤1,钟培华2.基于线性模型的江西省农业发展对策研究[J].广东农业科学,2015,42(19):151-158 |
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基于线性模型的江西省农业发展对策研究 |
Development countermeasures of agriculture inJiangxi province based on linear model |
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DOI: |
中文关键词: 江西省 农业 产值 一元线性回归 主成分分析 |
英文关键词: Jiangxi province agriculture output value a linear regression principal component analysis |
基金项目:国家科技支撑计划项目( 2 0 1 2 B A D
14B14) |
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中文摘要: |
为深入了解江西省农业发展过程中存在的问题,明确江西省农业发展方向,运用一元线性回归
分析和主成分分析法对江西省2000—2012 年农业产值进行分析。结果表明,农业的5 个分支(种植业、畜牧
业、林业、渔业和涉农服务业)间存在正向线性关系。农业发展存在一定的差异性,种植业和畜牧业依旧是江
西农业经济的主体,其他3 个产业产值整体偏弱,尤其是涉农服务业,发展更是落后。江西省在发展现代农业
的过程中,需要综合考虑农业的各个分支,综合区划、合理规划现有的农业资源,调整农业产业结构和布局,
因地制宜开展农业生产;在稳定种植业和畜牧业生产的同时,加大对其他农业分支的科技、信息和管理等投入
力度,加速发展。 |
英文摘要: |
In order to understand the problems existed in the agricultural development,and make sure how to
develop the agricultural economy in Jiangxi province,in this paper,the agricultural output value of Jiangxi province from
2000 to 2012 was studied with the method of linear regression analysis and principal component analysis. The results
showed that the five branches of agriculture(farming,animal husbandry,forestry,fishery and agricultural services)
had positive linear relationship. Besides,there were some differences among the development of agriculture yet,farming
and animal husbandry were the subjects in Jiangxi agricultural economy,and the other three industrial output values
were overall weak,especially the agriculture related to service industry,its development was still lagging behind. In
the development of modern agriculture,Jiangxi province needs to consider the relationship of all agricultural branches
comprehensively,scheme the agricultural resources rationally,and adjust the agricultural structure and layout to find
suitable agricultural production measurements. Meanwhile,Jiangxi province should increase the science,technology,
information and management investment for the other agricultural branches to accelerate the agricultural development,
during the time of stabilizing the production of farming and animal husbandry. |
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