| 潘世磊，丁黄艳.粮食安全和农民增收视角下种植业结构调整影响因素研究——基于2001—2013 年粮食主产区面板数据的实证[J].广东农业科学,2016,43(2):171-176 |
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粮食安全和农民增收视角下种植业结构调整影响因素研究——基于2001—2013 年粮食主产区面板数据的实证 |
| Influence factors of structural adjustment of planting the perspective of food security and growth of peasants’ income—Empirical analysis based on panel data in 2001-2013 in main grain-producing regions |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 粮食主产区 粮食安全 农民增收 种植业结构调整 |
| 英文关键词: main grain-producing regions food security growth of peasants’ income structural adjustment of planting |
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| 摘要点击次数: 1926 |
| 全文下载次数: 803 |
| 中文摘要: |
| 基于2001—2013 年粮食主产区面板数据，从国家粮食安全和农民增收视角，分析收入水平、灌溉设施、农业技术进步、交通设施、农业劳动力机会成本以及政策变量对粮食主产区种植业结构的影响。结果表明，交通设施、农业技术进步对整个粮食主产区种植业结构调整有促进作用，收入水平、灌溉设施、农业劳动力机会成本对种植业比例提高有负向影响，而粮食直补政策的效果不明显。各种因素影响具有区域差异性，农业机械总动力对东中部粮食作物种植有正向作用，对西部地区粮食作物种植有负向作用。建议在整个粮食主产区加快交通基础设施建设，积极推进农业技术转化利用，并将支持农业技术转化资金向东中部倾斜；在中西部地区加快灌溉设施和等级公路协同建设，逐步提高农民收入，强化农业技术的转化使用。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Based on the panel data of the main grain-producing regions in 2001-2013，this article analyzed the influences of income level，irrigation facility，agricultural technology progress，transportation facility，agricultural labor opportunity cost and policy variables on the structure of planting in the main grain-producing regions，from the perspective of national food security and growth of peasants' income. The results shows that the development of transportation facilities and agricultural technology have significant effecs on the structural adjustment of planting in the whole grainproducing areas. The income level，irrigation facility，opportunity cost of agricultural labor have negative effects on the proportion of planting，but the effect of grain subsidy policy is not obvious. Various factors influence regional diversities， and the total power of agricultural machinery has positive effect on the cultivation of crops in the East and Central，while the west is opposite. It is suggested that，we should speed up the construction of transportation infrastructure in the main grain-producing areas，promote the transformation and utilization of agricultural technology actively，support agricultural technology transfer funds to the East and central regions，accelerate the construction of irrigation facilities and highway synergistically in the central and western regions，increase the peasants' income gradually，and strengthen the transformation of agricultural technology. |
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