| 陈美先，齐文娥.风险偏好与农户技术采纳行为分析
——基于荔枝种植户的实证研究[J].广东农业科学,2019,46(11):156-162 |
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风险偏好与农户技术采纳行为分析
——基于荔枝种植户的实证研究 |
| Farmers’Risk Preferences and TheirTechnology Adoption Behavior—An Empirical Analysis of Litchi Farmer |
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| DOI：10.16768/j.issn.1004-874X.2019.11.022 |
| 中文关键词: 风险偏好 技术采纳行为 农户行为理论 荔枝种植户 |
| 英文关键词: risk preference technology adoption behavior farmers’behavior theory lychee farmer |
| 基金项目:国家现代农业产业技术体系专项（CARS-33-18） |
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| 摘要点击次数: 1562 |
| 全文下载次数: 720 |
| 中文摘要: |
| 【目的】发展中国家农业技术的应用水平仍然不高。农业技术的缓慢扩散是由农民的风险偏好行
为引起的。深入了解农户的技术选择行为，揭示他们面临的制约因素和障碍，对促进农业生产发展具有重要的
现实意义和理论意义。【方法】根据农户行为理论和对广东、广西939名荔枝种植者的一手调研数据，利用二元
Probit模型和 OLS模型估计，从风险偏好的角度进行了以高接换种为代表的荔枝生产技术的投入行为和影响因素
的实证分析。【结果】风险偏好程度对农民是否采用技术具有显著的正向影响，即果农对风险的偏好越高，其
采用新技术的可能性就越大。【结论】基于农民对新技术投资的风险规避心理，应加大对农业技术的推广来减
少农民对技术信息的不确定性。改变和提高农民对新技术投资的预期收益，发展多元化农业保险，使农民合理
分配风险资产，以提高农民对农业生产投入的积极性。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| 【Objective】The application level of agricultural technology in developing countries remains low. Slow diffusion
of agricultural technology is caused by farmers’risk preference behaviour. It is of great practical and theoretical significance to
promote the development of agricultural production through in-depth understanding of farmers' technology selection behaviour and
revealing the constraints and obstacles that they are facing.【Method】Based on the theoretical analysis on farmer behavior and
the first-hand survey data of 943 litchi growers in Guangdong and Guangxi. An empirical analysis on the investment behaviour
and influencing factors of litchi production technology represented by high-grafting from the perspective of risk preference was
conducted by using binary Probit model and OLS model.【Result】The risk preference variable has a significant positive impact
on whether farmers adopt technology, that is, the higher the risk preference of fruit growers, the greater the possibility of adopting
new technology.【Conclusion】Based on farmers’risk aversion psychology of new technology investment, the promotion of
agricultural technology should be strengthened to reduce farmers’ uncertainty of technology information. It is suggested to change
and improve the expected income of farmers’ investment in new technology and develop diversified agricultural insurance so that
farmers can rationally allocate risk assets to improve farmers’enthusiasm for agricultural production investment. |
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