| 刘少军，蔡大鑫，田光辉，甘业星.中国橡胶树种植区台风灾害危险性分区[J].广东农业科学,2020,47(9):134-140 |
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中国橡胶树种植区台风灾害危险性分区 |
| Zoning of Typhoon Disaster Risks in Rubber Tree Planting Area of China |
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| DOI：10.16768/j.issn.1004-874X.2020.09.018 |
| 中文关键词: 橡胶树 气象灾害 台风 危险性 分区 |
| 英文关键词: rubber tree meteorological disaster typhoon risk zoning |
| 基金项目:国家自然科学基金（41765007）；海南省基础与应用基础研究计划（自然科学领域）高层次人才项目（2019RC359） |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 【目的】台风灾害已经成为影响中国橡胶树种植和橡胶产业发展的主要气候因素，因此开展橡胶树种植区台风灾害危险性区划将能有效提高天然橡胶产业应对气象灾害的防御能力。【方法】根据西太平洋台风路径数据集和中国橡胶树种植分布，利用 ArcGIS 软件提取了中国橡胶主产区内台风路径、频次、平均风速、最大风速等信息，通过建立橡胶树台风灾害综合危险指数模型，得到中国橡胶树种植区内台风灾害危险性分布图。【结果】中国橡胶树种植台风灾害高危险区分布在海南三亚、陵水、万宁、文昌，广东徐闻、电白、湛江等地，台风灾害综合危险指数为（27，48］；中危险区主要分布在海南岛南部，广东阳江、茂名，福建诏安等地，台风灾害综合危险指数为（12，27］；较低危险区主要分布在海南岛中、西部，广东信宜、廉江，广西北海、玉林、陆川，福建云霄、长泰等地，台风灾害综合危险指数为（4，12］；低危险区主要分布在云南境内，台风灾害综合危险指数为［1，4］。【结论】研究结果可为橡胶树种植区台风灾害防御和橡胶树合理种植提供决策依据。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| 【Objective】Typhoon disaster has become one of the main climate factors affecting the planting of rubber trees and development of rubber industry in China. Therefore, the zoning of typhoon disaster risks for rubber tree planting will effectively improve the defense ability of rubber industry against meteorological disasters.【Method】The typhoon track, frequency, average wind speed, maximum wind speed and other information in Chinese rubber planting areas were extracted based on the data set of typhoon track in the Western Pacific Ocean and the distribution of rubber tree planting in China. And the disaster risk distribution of typhoon in the rubber planting areas of China was obtained by the established comprehensive typhoon disaster risk index model of rubber tree.【Result】The results showed that the high risk typhoon disaster areas of rubber planting were distributed in Sanya, Lingshui, Wanning and Wenchang of Hainan Island, and Xuwen, Dianbai and Zhanjiang of Guangdong Province, with the comprehensive risk index of typhoon disaster of 27-48; the medium risk areas were mainly distributed in the south of Hainan Island, Yangjiang and Maoming of Guangdong Province and Zhao'an of Fujian Province, with the comprehensive risk index of typhoon disaster of 12-27; the relatively low risk areas were mainly distributed in the middle and west of Hainan Island, Xinyi and Lianjiang of Guangdong Province, Beihai, Yulin and Luchuan of Guangxi Province and Yunxiao and Changtai of Fujian Province, with the comprehensive risk index of typhoon disaster of 4-12; while low risk areas were mainly distributed in Yunnan Province, with the comprehensive risk index of typhoon disaster of 1-4.【Conclusion】The results can provide decision-making basis for typhoon disaster prevention and rational planting of rubber trees in China. |
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