| 丁莹莹，何 尧，郝 平.基于 VAR 模型的农村三产融合与科技创新关系研究[J].广东农业科学,2022,49(8):155-164 |
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基于 VAR 模型的农村三产融合与科技创新关系研究 |
| Research on the Relationship Between Integration ofThree Industries in Rural Areas and Scientific andTechnological Innovation Based on VAR Model |
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| DOI：10.16768/j.issn.1004-874X.2022.08.019 |
| 中文关键词: 农村三产融合 科技投入 科技产出 VAR 模型 乡村振兴 农业技术创新 |
| 英文关键词: integration of three industries in rural area science and technology input science and technology output vector auto regression model (VAR) rural vitalization agricultural technology innovation |
| 基金项目:国家社会科学基金（21ZDA053-03）；山东省人文社会科学课题（2021-ZXCY-16）；山东省社会科学规划研究课题（21CPYJ21）；潍坊科技学院 2022 年度社科类校级课题（2022XJSK03）；潍坊市社会科学规划重点研究课题（2022-56） |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 【目的】随着信息时代的不断发展，科学技术成为农村产业发展的根本推动力，为进一步激活
农村发展活力，推动农村三产融合成为实现乡村振兴的有力支撑。【方法】基于向量自回归（VAR）模型，以
2011—2019 年我国科技及工业相关数据为样本，构建科技产出、科技投入、农村三产融合 3 个一级指标和 9 个
二级指标体系，对我国农村三产融合与科技创新投入关系进行研究。【结果】农村三产融合程度仍有很大的提
升空间和持续改进余地。指标体系中的科技投入力度、科技产出水平和农村三产融合间存在动态相互作用和高
度相关关系；科技创新投入能促进农村三产融合发展，农村三产融合在科技产出当期提高 1% 时提高 0.767%；
农村三产融合发展会促进科技创新进一步投入，农村三产融合综合得分每增加 0.881%，科技产出综合得分就增
加 1%。【结论】基于以上结果，我国应着力推进农业科学技术创新，以攻克技术壁垒，支持鼓励农业科研工作
者研发产品与技术创新，搭建科技创新联盟平台，增加 R&D 科技研发投入，营造科研创新环境，加快我国农业
技术创新步伐，实现传统农业与高技术产业之间的深度融合。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| 【Objective】With the continuous development of the information age, science and technology has
become the fundamental driving force for the development of rural industries. In order to further activate the vitality of
rural development and promote the integration of three industries in rural areas, it has become a strong support for rural
revitalization.【Method】Based on the vector auto regression (VAR) model and relevant data of science and technology
and industry in China from 2011 to 2019, the study explores the relationship between the integration of three industries in
rural areas and the input of scientific and technological innovation through nine secondary indicators under three first-level
indicators corresponding to the output of science and technology, the input of science and technology, and the integration
of three industries in rural areas.【Result】Empirical analysis results show that, there is still a lot of room for continuous
improvement in the degree of integration of three industries in rural areas. There are dynamic interactions and high correlations among the input intensity of science and technology, the output level of science and technology and the integration of
three industries in rural areas in the index systems; the input of science and technology innovation can promote the development
of integration of three industries in rural areas, which will increase 0.767% when the output of science and technology is
increased by 1% in the current period; the development of integration of three industries in rural areas will promote further
investment in science and technology innovation. When the comprehensive score of integration of three industries in rural areas
increases by 0.881%, the comprehensive score of science and technology output increases by 1%.【Conclusion】Based on
the above conclusions, we should focus on promoting agricultural scientific and technological innovation to overcome technical
barriers, support and encourage agricultural scientific research workers to develop products and technological innovation, build
a platform for scientific and technological innovation alliances, increase investment in scientific and technological research and
development, create an environment for scientific research and innovation, and accelerate the pace of agricultural technological
innovation in our country to realize the deep integration between traditional agriculture and high-tech industries. |
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