| 谢慧丽，王 进.新型城镇化、农村产业融合与农民共同富裕的耦合研究——基于陕西省市域面板数据的分析[J].广东农业科学,2023,50(4):156-164 |
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新型城镇化、农村产业融合与农民共同富裕的耦合研究——基于陕西省市域面板数据的分析 |
| Research on the Coupling of New Urbanization, Rural Industrial Integration and Farmers’ Common Prosperity |
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| DOI：10.16768/j.issn.1004-874X.2023.04.018 |
| 中文关键词: 新型城镇化 农村产业融合 农民共同富裕 农村发展 乡村振兴 耦合协调 |
| 英文关键词: new urbanization rural industrial integration farmers common prosperity rural development rural revitalization coupling coordination |
| 基金项目:国家社会科学基金（20BGL214）；陕西省哲学社会科学重大理论与现实问题研究项目（2022ZD0680） |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 【目的】新型城镇化、农村产业融合与农民共同富裕是农村发展的 3 个驱动要素，研究三者之间的耦合机制可以对其丰富内涵及相互作用机制有更深刻的理解；研究影响三者耦合的因素可以为陕西省乃至西北地区推动乡村振兴战略实施提供启示。【方法】基于三者的相互作用关系构建综合评价指标体系，对 2010—2020 年陕西省各地级市三者之间的耦合协调度进行测算，并运用 Tobit 模型对影响三者耦合协调的因素进行研究。【结果】（1）2010—2020 年陕西省新型城镇化、农村产业融合和农民共同富裕综合水平分别由 0.28 增长到 0.49、由 0.33 上升到 0.38、由 0.31 提高到 0.58，总体呈持续攀升趋势。（2）陕西省新型城镇化、农村产业融合与农民共同富裕的耦合协调度总体处于较低水平，但在研究期内持续上升，由 0.347 上升至 0.721，且区域异质性显著。（3）从全域角度来看，政府支持、人力资本的回归系数分别为 0.269、0.163，即政府支持、人力资本对陕西省新型城镇化、农村产业融合与农民共同富裕的耦合协调存在显著的正向推动作用；产业结构、失业情况和收入差距的回归系数分别为 -0.961、-0.214 和 -0.318，即产业结构失调、失业情况严重、城乡收入差距过大等会抑制 3 个驱动的耦合。（4）从区域异质性来看，政府支持对关中、陕南和陕北 3 个区域的耦合协调均存正向推动作用，失业情况对陕南地区的影响不显著，产业结构、城乡收入差距、人力资本对 3 个区域的耦合协调度影响均不显著。【结论】新型城镇化、农村产业融合与农民共同富裕之间存在耦合关系，将三者耦合能够形成强大的发展合力，可增加农民收入、缩小城乡差距。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| 【Objective】New urbanization, rural industrial integration and farmers common prosperity are the three driving factors of rural development. The study on the coupling mechanism among the above three can give a deeper understanding of their rich connotation and interaction mechanism. Studying the factors that affect the coupling of the three can provide countermeasures and suggestions for promoting the implementation of rural revitalization strategies in Shaanxi Province and even the northwest region.【Method】 Based on the interaction relationship among the three, a comprehensive evaluation index system was constructed to measure the coupling coordination degree among the three in various cities of Shaanxi Province from 2010 to 2020. The Tobit Model was used to study the factors affecting the coupling coordination of the three. 【Result】 (1) From 2010 to 2020, the comprehensive levels of new urbanization, rural industrial integration and farmers’common prosperity in Shaanxi Province increased from 0.28 to 0.49, 0.33 to 0.38, and 0.31 to 0.58, respectively, showing a continuous upward trend. (2) The coupling coordination degree of new urbanization, rural industrial integration and common prosperity of farmers in Shaanxi Province was generally at a low level, but it continued to rise from 0.347 to 0.721 in the study period, and the regional heterogeneity was significant. (3) From a global perspective, the regression coefficients of government support and human capital are 0.269 and 0.163 respectively, that is, government support and human capital have a significant positive role in promoting the coupling coordination of new urbanization, rural industrial integration and farmers’ common prosperity in Shaanxi Province. The regression coefficients for industrial structure, unemployment situation, and income gap are -0.961, -0.214, and -0.318, respectively, indicating that industrial structure imbalance, severe unemployment and excessive urban-rural income gap will suppress the coupling of the three driver factors. (4) From the perspective of regional heterogeneity, government support has a positive promoting effect on the coupling coordination of the three regions of central Shaanxi, southern Shaanxi and northern Shaanxi. The impact of unemployment on the southern Shaanxi region is not significant, and the impacts of industrial structure, urban-rural income gap and human capital on the coupling and coordination degrees of the three regions are not significant. 【Conclusion】There is a coupling relationship between new urbanization, rural industrial integration and farmers’ common prosperity. The coupling of the three can form a strong development force, increase farmers’ income and narrow the gap between urban and rural areas. |
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