文章摘要
Progress of model simulation on Chinese agriculture under climate change scenarios
  
DOI:
Author NameAffiliation
任景全,王连喜,李琪,吴荣军,吴东丽 1.南京信息工程大学环境科学与工程学院/江苏省大气环境监测与污染控制高技术研究重点实验室江苏南京2100442.中国气象局气象探测中心北京100081 
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Abstract:
      The paper summarized the overview of main food crops (rice,wheat,maize) model simulations under the climate change in the future,including food production and sensitivity,vulnerability research.The combination of crop model and climate model is the main method.Although model simulations have made some progress,the current crop model use are most from abroad,the simulated level of domestic model needs to be improved.Aiming at the problems in the present study,the priority research field should be focused on the climate models,greenhouse gas emission scenarios,the uncertainty of application technology,crop growth simulation models and the vulnerability of agriculture to climate change,providing a theory basis for the accurate evaluation of climate change on the sustainable development of China's agricultural production.
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