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| Empirical analysis on effect of collaborative developmentof new“ five-modernization” on income of ruralresidents in Anhui province |
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| DOI：10.16768/j.issn.1004-874X.2017.04.025 |
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| Abstract: |
| Based on the time series data of Anhui province from 1990 to 2015，this paper used vector
autoregressive（ VAR） to explore the possibibities of promoting the income growth of rural residents in Anhui
province，approaching it from five appects: urbanization，industrialization，agricultural modernization，
informatization and greenification（ hereinafter referred to as“ five-modernization”） . It is concluded that there is
a long-term equilibrium relationship between collaborative development of the“ five-modernization”and incomes
of rural residents，though it is not statistically significant in short-run. Informationization and urbanization bring
about 32.7326% and 11.28629% of the contribution rate respectively，which show they both have profound effects
on incomes of rural residents，the positive shocks on industrialization and agricultural modernization lead to positive
responses of income of rural residents，which are noticeable in step，while a positive shock on greenization causes a
statistically significant income fluctuation，which means there is no valid economic benefits. Therefore，it is suggested
that we could focus on the green innovation and enjoy the ecological benefits，vigorously promote coordinated development of the“ five-modernization”，and properly utilize information technology to promote industrialization，
then to promote agricultural modernization，ultimately to increase noticeable income growth of rural residents，with
the combination of town and country. |
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