| 【Objective】Under the background of Sino-US trade friction, this paper analyzes the impacts of tariffs on
the three margins of Sino-US bilateral aquatic product export growth, and puts forward some policy suggestions to maintain
the growth of Sino-US bilateral aquatic product export. 【Method】The ternary marginal analysis model and VAR model
were used to explore the internal mechanism of Sino-US bilateral aquatic product export growth, and the main factors
affecting the growth of Sino-US bilateral aquatic product export were analyzed.【Result】On the whole, in China's aquatic
product exports to the United States, the quantity margin brought a contribution of 83.98%, the price margin of 41.34%,
while the expansion margin produced a negative contribution of -25.32%. In the export of aquatic products from the United
States to China, the quantity margin produced a contribution of 74.73%, the price margin of 13.25%, and the expansion
margin of 12.01%. From the perspective of the impact of tariff, in China's aquatic product exports to the United States,
the maximum impact of tariff on the expansion margin was 8.89%, the quantity margin and price margin were 1.35% and
0.06%, respectively. In the aquatic products exported from the United States to China, the impact of tariff on price margin
was 23.26%, expansion margin was 11.07%, and quantity margin was 8.51%.【Conclusion】It is suggested to improve the
core competitiveness of products, cultivate new varieties, build international brands, actively explore the market to achieve
diversification, and actively create favorable trade conditions. |
