| 李梦洁，侯 敬，张亭好，郑 丹.山东省农业保险与农业现代化耦合协调及灰色关联度分析[J].广东农业科学,2022,49(6):148-154 |
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山东省农业保险与农业现代化耦合协调及灰色关联度分析 |
| Analysis on the Coupling Coordination and Gray AssociationDegree of Agricultural Insurance and AgriculturalModernization in Shandong Province |
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| DOI：10.16768/j.issn.1004-874X.2022.06.018 |
| 中文关键词: 农业保险 农业现代化 耦合协调度模型 灰色关联法 山东省 |
| 英文关键词: agricultural insurance agricultural modernization coupling coordination model gray association method Shandong Province |
| 基金项目:农业农村部软科学研究项目（20190515）；青岛农业大学重点科研项目（6691314256） |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 【目的】健全的农业保险体系对规避或分散农业经营风险、推动农业现代化发展起着重要作用，
探究农业保险与农业现代化之间的耦合协调以及灰色关联性，对加快实现农业高质量发展至关重要。【方法】
基于 2010—2019 年山东省农业保险与农业现代化的相关数据，运用耦合协调度模型，揭示两大体系之间的耦合
互动关系，并采用灰色关联法分析农业保险对农业现代化发展的影响。【结果】山东省农业保险和农业现代化
的综合发展指数均呈上升态势；农业保险与农业现代化的耦合协调程度由严重失调逐渐趋好到优质协调状态，
耦合度由 2010 年的 0.329 上升至 2019 年的 0.875，改善明显；农业保险体系各指标与农业现代化总体指标的灰
色关联度较高，均在 0.7 以上，其中农险保费收入在财产险保费收入的占比、农险保费收入深度以及农险保费收
入与农业现代化的关联性较高，是主要的影响因素。【结论】提出完善市场化的农业保险机制和提升服务管理
水平、加大农业保险宣传力度和扩大农险覆盖面、推动农业保险与农业现代化融合协调发展等对策建议。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| 【Objective】A sound agricultural insurance system plays an important role in avoiding or dispersing the
risks of agricultural operation and promoting the development of agricultural modernization. It is crucial to explore the
coupling coordination and gray correlation between agricultural insurance and agricultural modernization to accelerate
the realization of high-quality development of agriculture.【Method】Based on the relevant data of agricultural
insurance and agricultural modernization in Shandong Province from 2010 to 2019, the research used the coupling
coordination model to reveal the coupling interaction and influencing factors between the two systems, and used the gray
association method to analyze the influence of agricultural insurance on the development of agricultural modernization.【Result】 The comprehensive development score of agricultural insurance and agricultural modernization in Shandong
Province showed an increasing trend, and the coupling corordination degree of agricultural insurance and agricultural
modernization gradually improved from serious imbalance to high-quality coordination, with the coupling degree increasing
noticeably from 0.329 in 2010 to 0.875 in 2019. The gray correlation coordination degree of each agricultural insurance system
index and agricultural modernization index was relatively high, all above 0.7. Among them, the proportion of agricultural
insurance premium income in property insurance, the depth of agricultural insurance premium income and agricultural
insurance premium income and agricultural modernization had relatively high correlation, which has become the main
influencing factors.【Conclusion】Based on the above results, it is proposed to improve the market-oriented agricultural
insurance mechanism, improve the service management level, increase the publicity of agricultural insurance and expand
the coverage of agricultural insurance, promote the integration and coordinated development of agricultural insurance and
agricultural modernization and other countermeasures and suggestions. |
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